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Cautious Optimism for the U.S. Economy and
Financial Markets

Joseph Davis
The Journal of Beta Investment Strategies Summer 2011, 2 (1) 81-86; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/jii.2011.2.1.081
Joseph Davis
is the chief economist and head of the Vanguard Investment Strategy Group in Malvern, PA.
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  • For correspondence: joseph_davis@vanguard.com
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Abstract

Vanguard’s outlook for the U.S. economy remains one of cautious optimism. While Vanguard fully appreciates the secular headwinds following the deep financial crisis, their proprietary leading indicators continue to suggest that a stronger-than-expected economic recovery is increasingly likely in 2011. These upside risks—should they be realized—would appear consistent with a self-sustaining recovery, positive but volatile stock market returns, and eventually, stronger upward pressure on trend inflation and U.S. interest rates.

TOPICS: Wealth management, equity portfolio management, financial crises and financial market history

  • Copyright © 2011 The Vanguard Group, Inc. All rights reserved. Not to be reproduced or redistributed without permission.
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The Journal of Index Investing: 2 (1)
The Journal of Beta Investment Strategies
Vol. 2, Issue 1
Summer 2011
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Cautious Optimism for the U.S. Economy and
Financial Markets
Joseph Davis
The Journal of Beta Investment Strategies May 2011, 2 (1) 81-86; DOI: 10.3905/jii.2011.2.1.081

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Cautious Optimism for the U.S. Economy and
Financial Markets
Joseph Davis
The Journal of Beta Investment Strategies May 2011, 2 (1) 81-86; DOI: 10.3905/jii.2011.2.1.081
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